Ok so Im a little hungover and on a day off. Feels like a defeat yesterday so I thought Id take a little look at the remaining fixtures to get an idea of how we compare and got a little carried away.
Obviously football doesnt work like this but over the course of the season its usually not far away in terms of results so... Ive assessed each teams fixtures and games go in one of 3 categories to give a picture of how tough fixtures are
Bottom 10 ie. Watford down and highly winnable
Mid table ie.. Everton, Leicester, Bournemouth and Burnley. These are neutral and ignored for consistency for everyone as could go either way
Tough ie.. top 6. Assumed loss (though obviously wont all go that way)
As I say, ignoring the mid table as neutral games each team has (winnable/top six) games. So Im order of fixtures remaining, easiest run top we have
Swansea (6/3)
Huddersfield (6/4)
Watford (5/4) NB: doesnt include chealsea tonight, free pass for simplicity
Palace (5/4)
Stoke (5/4)
WBA (5/4)
Southampton (4/4)
West Ham (4/5)
Brighton (4/5)
Newcastle (4/5)
As you can see Newcastle, Brighton ans West Ham do have the toughest run ins, where as Swansea and Newcastle have the most games against the bottom 10.
When you add the current table, points and -1 point for stoke and Huddersfield for extremely poor goal averages it looks like the table will end like this if difficaulty of remaining games is the deciding factor
Swansea
Watford
Palace
Huddersfield
Southampton
Stoke
West Ham
Brighton
WBA
Newcastle
Obviously that doesnt count other influences like Swansea losing two key players last week and West Ham injury list being worse than ours. West Ham have a big part of thier winnable games coming soon while they are struggling with players missing so timing could influence them.
Like I say, its football. It wont go to form/league positions but just an illustration of the upcoming fixtures shows we are still in control of our own destiny and yesterdays result wasnt the worst.
Hope some of you find that interesting anyway
Obviously football doesnt work like this but over the course of the season its usually not far away in terms of results so... Ive assessed each teams fixtures and games go in one of 3 categories to give a picture of how tough fixtures are
Bottom 10 ie. Watford down and highly winnable
Mid table ie.. Everton, Leicester, Bournemouth and Burnley. These are neutral and ignored for consistency for everyone as could go either way
Tough ie.. top 6. Assumed loss (though obviously wont all go that way)
As I say, ignoring the mid table as neutral games each team has (winnable/top six) games. So Im order of fixtures remaining, easiest run top we have
Swansea (6/3)
Huddersfield (6/4)
Watford (5/4) NB: doesnt include chealsea tonight, free pass for simplicity
Palace (5/4)
Stoke (5/4)
WBA (5/4)
Southampton (4/4)
West Ham (4/5)
Brighton (4/5)
Newcastle (4/5)
As you can see Newcastle, Brighton ans West Ham do have the toughest run ins, where as Swansea and Newcastle have the most games against the bottom 10.
When you add the current table, points and -1 point for stoke and Huddersfield for extremely poor goal averages it looks like the table will end like this if difficaulty of remaining games is the deciding factor
Swansea
Watford
Palace
Huddersfield
Southampton
Stoke
West Ham
Brighton
WBA
Newcastle
Obviously that doesnt count other influences like Swansea losing two key players last week and West Ham injury list being worse than ours. West Ham have a big part of thier winnable games coming soon while they are struggling with players missing so timing could influence them.
Like I say, its football. It wont go to form/league positions but just an illustration of the upcoming fixtures shows we are still in control of our own destiny and yesterdays result wasnt the worst.
Hope some of you find that interesting anyway
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