For real this time. What's with all the Draws?!?

dimanche 27 février 2022

Palace already has more draws this season than they've had in any other season since promotion.

2013/14 6 (15.79%)
2014/15 9 (23.68%)
2015/16 9 (23.68%)
2016/17 5 (13.16%)
2017/18 11 (28.95%)
2018/19 7 (18.42%)
2019/20 10 (26.32%)
2020/21 8 (21.05%)
2021/22 12 (44.44%) with 11 matches to play

44.44% of matches is a shit-ton. They more than double their usual percentage of draws. The closest they've been to that number since at least 2001/02 is the 36.96% you get with 17 draws in the Championship they managed 4 times.


I was going to argue that there is more parity in the mid-table this season but that might not the case, it's just Palace.

Premier League Draws By Season

2013/14 78 (20.53%)
2014/15 93 (24.47%)
2015/16 107 (28.16%)
2016/17 84 (22.11%)
2017/18 99 (26.05%)
2018/19 71 (18.68%)
2019/20 92 (24.21%)
2020/21 83 (21.84%)
2021/22 67 (26.17%) with 124 games (just under 1/3) left to play.

While this year's numbers are a bit higher than average, if you put palace back at "normal" for this time of season (about 6 draws), that drops the league average back down to 23.83% which is closer to what it usually is.

TLDR: Palace has about 6 more draws so far this season than they should. Many would argue 4 of those should be wins (Brighton, Arsenal, Brentford(H), Norwich) and maybe 2 losses (West Ham, Leicester). That's a six point difference.

Now the question is why. I don't know.


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