Analysis from the excellent experimental361

mercredi 4 novembre 2020

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This is one of the yearly articles I enjoy. Essentially, it breaks down various statistics determining how teams perform offensively and defensively.

Graph One: Shots Taken vs Shots Faced Per Match
It is no surprise to see that we have the worst shots per/game ratio in the league, whilst also having the 2nd busiest defence.

Graph Two: Shots Taken Per Match vs Shots Taken Per Goal Scored
Again, we appear in the left most position, fortunately, we have been relatively clinical.

Graph Three: Shots Faced Per Match vs Shots Per Goal Conceeded
Not exactly where we'd want to be, high up in the shots faced, but a combination of having an excellent shot stopper, last ditch blocks and giving up low quality chances has seen us concede at a reasonable rate.

Graph Four: Expected Goals Created Per Match vs Expected Goals Conceded Per Match The chances we have created are suggesting we create enough for 1.2 goals/game while we allow 1.6 goals/game.

Takeaways: We have seen some very hot and cold performances this season. A complete failure going forwards in games against Brighton and Chelsea, most notably. Some may point out that we have been on the wrong-side of 5? marginal offside calls. However, we are seeing a strong reoccurring theme from last season: there isn't enough creativity in this team. We score at pretty much the rate we are expected to score at. We concede at a slightly better rate than we would expect to.

To improve as a side, I can see four areas in which we could work on:
  • Take our chances more clinically.
  • Create more chances.
  • Concede fewer chances.
  • Our goalkeeper performs better.

On point one, I do think the goals will come for Batshuayi after seeing three goals ruled out. He will need to time his runs better, but the finishes against Brighton and Wolves were hugely encouraging.

On point two, this is the most obvious area where we can improve. We have Eze, who is not being used from the start. We have more options on the bench than we have done last season. Excuses are running out for Roy on this front for me.

On point three, we aren't going to concede fewer chances without controlling possession of the ball more effectively. Again, this is an area we can improve as a team, and I think we good enough players to do so.

On point four, Guaita performed heroics last season and hasn't quite hit the same standard this season. We massively over relied on him and it paints a scary picture should his form drop any further.


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