The 7 year itch

vendredi 7 décembre 2018

For a club of our size, does staying in the Premier League become more difficult with each passing year? Common sense would dictate that it's a no. Year after year without relegation, the amount of money coming into the bank is obscenely high and so it helps you maintain your status. So why do I question this logic?

For a start, clubs of a similarish size to us that hang around in this league for longer than a season or two often never really become established. Bolton, Stoke, Swansea, Wigan, all had fairly lengthy recent spells in top flight but they also never really established themselves.

I think the biggest issue actually comes from the increase in money and the difficulty of managing it. Agents exploit this and clubs end up overpaying for bang average players. But the real key here is that the longer you stay up, the worse it can become.

After first getting promoted, a club might end up with a couple of good signings, and one or two wasters that are simply there for the cash and nothing else. As time goes on without relegation, you end up buying more of these. Then after a couple of seasons your half decent but not amazing right back that was part of your promotion team understandably asks for a wage increase, in-line with what his new non-amazing colleagues are getting. The club know that he's probably not really worth the wage he's asked for, but equally, finding a replacement for him that will require a transfer fee and will have an ageny demanding similar wages anyway, means that the club end up paying Mr Average way over the odds.

And this keeps continuing until a club of our size, despite the Premier League millions, just stretches itself until it falls apart.

Of course, a decent scouting system with a good recruitment policy, a proper youth academy, and careful management of finances helps massively in keeping clubs afloat. But in general, does it jusg become more difficult as time goes on, or am I chatting bollocks?


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