What should the odds be on this football handicap bet?
I've been going through this in mind and am struggling to get it straight. Perhaps someone can help?
Imagine a football match between Chelsea and Wolves. I have worked out that Chelsea will win by about 2 goals. I think this is the average margin I can expect. If they repeat this fixture many times, sometimes Chelsea will win by more than 2 and sometimes by fewer than 2 (or lose or draw), but on average the margin will be 2.
I look for 2-way Asian Handicap odds, and see there is a market for Chelsea -1.5. What would be the fair odds I should expect, to represent an average win by 2 goals?
It's not a trick question, it's something I have been puzzling over in an effort to improve my handicap betting. Any help welcome :)
I've been going through this in mind and am struggling to get it straight. Perhaps someone can help?
Imagine a football match between Chelsea and Wolves. I have worked out that Chelsea will win by about 2 goals. I think this is the average margin I can expect. If they repeat this fixture many times, sometimes Chelsea will win by more than 2 and sometimes by fewer than 2 (or lose or draw), but on average the margin will be 2.
I look for 2-way Asian Handicap odds, and see there is a market for Chelsea -1.5. What would be the fair odds I should expect, to represent an average win by 2 goals?
It's not a trick question, it's something I have been puzzling over in an effort to improve my handicap betting. Any help welcome :)
0 commentaires:
Enregistrer un commentaire