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A fairly interesting article displaying a variety of charts indicating stats such as shooting and defending efficiency. (I’m on my phone, so I hope the link works.)
What strikes me most about Palace is just how far away we are from expectation in terms of our goals scored. Those records we set at the beginning of the season do seem to be almost astronomially rare, although not helped by a dismal transfer window. Will we see a return to the norm as the season goes on? The stats suggest so, even if the table ranks us last right now.
As someone who’s played poker professionally, I have a reasonable understanding of variance. In poker, you can do all the right things and still lose if some unlikely outcome occurs, but over a large sample, you will win. Recent performances and stats suggest we will improve. In fact, compared to most teams around us, we’re looking better in some of these stats.
Looking at some other teams, Burnley looks like they have ran well over their sample of games so far, although I’m not predicting a Palace 15/16 season of two halves, I do think they will fall away somewhat.
Oh and City really are just amazingly good right now.
A fairly interesting article displaying a variety of charts indicating stats such as shooting and defending efficiency. (I’m on my phone, so I hope the link works.)
What strikes me most about Palace is just how far away we are from expectation in terms of our goals scored. Those records we set at the beginning of the season do seem to be almost astronomially rare, although not helped by a dismal transfer window. Will we see a return to the norm as the season goes on? The stats suggest so, even if the table ranks us last right now.
As someone who’s played poker professionally, I have a reasonable understanding of variance. In poker, you can do all the right things and still lose if some unlikely outcome occurs, but over a large sample, you will win. Recent performances and stats suggest we will improve. In fact, compared to most teams around us, we’re looking better in some of these stats.
Looking at some other teams, Burnley looks like they have ran well over their sample of games so far, although I’m not predicting a Palace 15/16 season of two halves, I do think they will fall away somewhat.
Oh and City really are just amazingly good right now.
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