Palace's 2017 defence

mercredi 27 septembre 2017

Quite interesting analysis here:

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"The team with the highest rate [chances conceded with fewer than two men between .. shot and .. goal]– and this won’t be surprising at all – is Crystal Palace, with 32% of the chances that they conceded through their first five matches taking place with fewer than two men between the shot and their goal. With this figure and a number of chances that they’re conceding per match, it’s no surprise that they’re doing badly.

Focusing down to a more specific area of the pitch, Burnley and Palace provide a good case study of different types of defending.

In the Danger Zone (definitions differ insignificantly but for the purposes of this article, it is the width of the six-yard box stretching from the goal-line to the edge of the eighteen-yard box), Burnley has actually conceded more chances (38) than Palace (24), according to Stratagem’s data.

However, a full 50% of the chances that Palace have allowed in the Danger Zone have come with fewer than two men in front of goal, whereas for Burnley this figure is just 23.68%. For over 18% of these chances, Burnley has got five or more men in front of the shot, against a big fat zero for the Eagles.

So from initially having the better number of Danger Zone chances conceded (24 vs 38), this is turned on its head looking at these ‘super dangerous’ chances, where Burnley have only conceded 9 to Palace’s 12.

But there’s more. According to Stratagem’s data, Burnley put far more pressure on the shooter than Crystal Palace do. For chances in the Danger Zone, Burnley average as the third-most pressuring side in the league, whereas Palace is 19th.

Burnley – as we’ve all known for a while – allow the opposition to have the ball and, to an extent, to take a few shots. As long as these aren’t good shots, Sean Dyche’s men don’t seem to mind too much, even when these chances are taking place relatively close to goal. Palace is not quite a sieve, but more like a badly designed gold-pan that lets through all the gold."


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